Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
