Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 28.1% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.53%).
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Newcastle United |
28.1% ( 0.91) | 24.46% ( -0.02) | 47.44% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.83% ( 0.67) | 46.16% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.53% ( 0.63) | 68.46% ( -0.64) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% ( 1.03) | 30.1% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% ( 1.22) | 66.24% ( -1.22) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% ( -0.1) | 19.55% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.54% ( -0.16) | 51.45% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Newcastle United |
1-0 @ 7.06% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.1% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 47.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 31 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 29 |
3 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
5 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
7 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 19 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Liverpool | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Everton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 |
14 | Bournemouth | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 13 |
15 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 12 |
16 | Aston Villa | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 12 |
17 | Southampton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 12 |
18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 11 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 10 |
20 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 9 |
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