Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
37.33% | 25.46% | 37.2% |
Both teams to score 56.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.23% | 47.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.04% | 69.96% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% | 25.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% | 59.73% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% | 25.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.17% | 59.83% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 0.96% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.77% Total : 37.33% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.69% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 0.96% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 50 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 45 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 33 | 11 | 22 | 39 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 39 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Fulham | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 31 |
8 | Brentford | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Liverpool | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 29 |
10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 29 |
11 | Aston Villa | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 24 |
13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 35 | -19 | 21 |
14 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 18 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 17 |
18 | Bournemouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
19 | Everton | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 15 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 15 |
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