Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.