MX23RW : Friday, March 24 18:57:44| >> :60:1179:1179:
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between Ecuador and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42
Last Six:
Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mauritius vs. Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Ecuador 1-2 Nigeria

Ecuador and Nigeria have struggled for results and we expect them to take the game to each other in search of a morale-boosting win. However, we are backing the Super Eagles to come away with a slender victory as they boast a slightly superior crop of players scattered across all departments of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ecuador in this match.

Result
EcuadorDrawNigeria
37.27% (-0.93 -0.93) 27.14% (0.078000000000003 0.08) 35.59% (0.849 0.85)
Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-0.255 -0.25)54.93% (0.252 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (-0.21 -0.21)76.21% (0.20899999999999 0.21)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (-0.666 -0.67)28.45% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78% (-0.843 -0.84)64.22% (0.84200000000001 0.84)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53% (0.407 0.41)29.47% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (0.496 0.5)65.48% (-0.497 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 37.27%
    Nigeria 35.58%
    Draw 27.13%
EcuadorDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.58%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Nigeria

Ecuador
40.7%
Draw
25.4%
Nigeria
33.9%
59
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Pella
Shapovalov
3 6 3
6 3 6
Result
Bautista Agut
Ruusuvuori
4 65
6 77
Result
Wolf
Rublev
63 4
77 6
4.30pm
Sinner
Djere
4.30pm
Schwartzman
Wu
5.30pm
Fritz
Nava
6pm
Huesler
Paul
6pm
Kecmanovic
Humbert
6pm
Popyrin
Van De Zandschulp
7pm
Alcaraz
Bagnis
7.30pm
Struff
Dimitrov
7.30pm
Lajovic
Cressy
7.30pm
Davidovich Fokina
Nakashima
9pm
Fucsovics
Rune
11pm
Ruud
Ivashka
11.55pm
Daniel
Zverev
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28223366264069
2Manchester CityMan City27194467254261
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd2615564135650
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs28154952401249
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle261211339192047
6Liverpool26126847291842
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton25126746311542
8Brentford27101254334942
9Fulham27116103837139
10Chelsea2710892928138
11Aston Villa27115113539-438
12Crystal Palace2869132238-1627
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2876152241-1927
14Leeds UnitedLeeds2768133544-926
15Everton2868142240-1826
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2768132249-2726
17Leicester CityLeicester2774163847-925
18West Ham UnitedWest Ham2666142434-1024
19Bournemouth2766152554-2924
20Southampton2865172346-2323

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