The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Paraguay
Thursday, June 2 at 11am in International Friendlies
Thursday, June 2 at 11am in International Friendlies
Next Game: South Korea vs. Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
We said: Paraguay 0-2 Ecuador
With far more to play for, and with momentum on their side, we back Ecuador to secure a crucial win on Thursday. La Tri have performed over and above all expectations to remain in the top four, and they should have enough to cruise past a struggling Paraguay team. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 47.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 24.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Ecuador |
| 47.12% | 27.93% | 24.94% |
| Both teams to score 43.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
