While this should theoretically be one of Northern Ireland's easiest fixtures of the group, it comes with the added pressure of being a must-win. Although the visitors should achieve that comfortably enough, do not expect the goals to flow as they normally do against San Marino.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 77.17%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 7.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.49%) and 0-3 (11.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Northern Ireland in this match.
0.05) 
-0.14) 
