MX23RW : Thursday, February 15 23:51:47| >> :120:39332:39332:
Braga
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Qarabag
Braga
2 - 4
Qarabag
Banza (44'), Moutinho (90+1' pen.)
Ruiz (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jankovic (21' pen.), Zoubir (54', 69'), Juninho (65')
Silva (30'), Romao (76')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Sunday, February 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Qarabag 2-1 Hacken
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Braga 3-0 Qarabag FK

With more quality throughout their squad and home advantage on their side, we back Braga to gain the advantage in Portugal on Thursday before travelling to Baku for the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw has a probability of 21.1% and a win for Qarabag FK has a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.67%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Qarabag FK win it is 1-2 (5.5%).

Result
BragaDrawQarabag FK
58.21% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 21.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 20.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.12% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.43% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.28% (0.0049999999999955 0)60.72% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)12.99% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.49% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)32.05% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.52% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Braga 58.21%
    Qarabag FK 20.66%
    Draw 21.12%
BragaDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.71%
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.43%
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.4%
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 58.21%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.12%
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.74%
0-2 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20.66%

How you voted: Braga vs Qarabag

Braga
80.3%
Draw
10.9%
Qarabag FK
8.8%
147
rhs 2.0
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