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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Heerenveen in this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
48.14% | 24.62% | 27.24% |
Both teams to score 55.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.56% | 47.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.35% | 69.66% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% | 19.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% | 51.81% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% | 31.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.21% | 67.79% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 39 |
2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 38 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
4 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
5 | Ajax | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 33 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 29 |
8 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 27 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 22 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 19 |
13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 19 |
14 | Vitesse | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 16 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
16 | Groningen | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 12 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 12 |
18 | Cambuur | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 9 |
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