Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
