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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
33.45% | 25.42% | 41.12% |
Both teams to score 55.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.94% | 48.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.78% | 70.22% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% | 27.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.06% | 62.94% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% | 23.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.9% | 57.1% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 39 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
4 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
5 | Ajax | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 33 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 32 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 29 |
8 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 27 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 19 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 19 |
13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 19 |
14 | Vitesse | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 16 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
16 | Groningen | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 12 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 12 |
18 | Cambuur | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 9 |
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