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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
48.15% | 25.85% | 26% |
Both teams to score 50.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.68% | 53.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% | 74.87% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% | 22.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% | 55.55% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.46% | 35.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.69% | 72.31% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 8.94% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.2% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2% Total : 26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
3 | Ajax | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 40 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 39 |
5 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 37 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 20 |
15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 |
17 | Groningen | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 13 |
18 | Cambuur | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 12 |
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