Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Emelec 2-0 Independiente Petrolero
If there was a team that Emelec would have wanted to play in their final match of the group stage, the Bolivians would likely be their first choice. We anticipate El Bombillo will be able to end their woes at home against a side with nothing to play for and a defence who have been far too easy to penetrate in this competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Independiente Petrolero |
48.36% ( -0.04) | 22.93% ( -0) | 28.71% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.03% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
