Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Argentinos Jrs
1 - 0
Atletico Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
| 46.5% | 25.57% | 27.93% |
| Both teams to score 52.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
