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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Coventry City | 46 | 1 | 64 |
13 | Preston North End | 46 | -4 | 64 |
14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Preston North End |
38.96% | 28.97% | 32.07% |
Both teams to score 44.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.98% | 62.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.25% | 81.75% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.07% | 30.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.77% | 67.22% |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.51% | 35.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% | 72.25% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 7.56% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.1% Total : 38.96% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.96% | 0-1 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.07% Total : 32.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 27 | 25 | 61 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 54 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 50 |
5 | Sunderland | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 48 |
6 | Watford | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 47 |
7 | Millwall | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 46 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 46 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 45 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 45 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 42 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 42 |
13 | Hull City | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 41 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 41 |
15 | Reading | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Bristol City | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 40 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 39 |
18 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 38 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 37 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 33 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 32 |
22 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 30 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 28 |
24 | Blackpool | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
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