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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
20 | Birmingham City | 46 | -25 | 47 |
21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
56.72% | 23.56% | 19.72% |
Both teams to score 49.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.61% | 50.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.67% | 72.33% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.43% | 17.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.88% | 48.12% |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.11% | 39.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.45% | 76.55% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.65% 4-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.7% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.44% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.32% Total : 19.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Burnley | 42 | 26 | 14 | 2 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 92 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 82 |
3 | Luton TownLuton | 43 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 75 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 82 | 52 | 30 | 74 |
5 | Millwall | 43 | 18 | 11 | 14 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 65 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 42 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 64 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 63 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 63 |
9 | Sunderland | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 62 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 62 |
11 | Preston North EndPreston | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 62 |
12 | Watford | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 43 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 59 |
14 | Bristol City | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 53 |
15 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 53 |
16 | Hull City | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 53 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 52 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 42 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 46 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 45 |
20 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 44 |
21 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 44 |
22 | Reading | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 43 |
23 | Blackpool | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 38 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 37 |
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