Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Hibernians had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Hibernians win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
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