Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.