Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.