Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kairat had a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Kairat win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.