Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.