The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Villarreal.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Bayern Munich could line up for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final second leg with Villarreal.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 60 | 77 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Villarreal (Bayern win 3-2 on aggregate)
We made the mistake of underestimating Villarreal before the first leg, and an entire XI of fresh legs can certainly trouble this Bayern backline - especially given their track record of away goals in the Champions League this term. While Emery's side could and probably should have scored more in the first leg, Bayern were also guilty of some profligacy on the night - which should not be the case at the Allianz Arena - and attempting to make lightning strike twice in Bavaria will likely be a step too far for this spirited Villarreal side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Villarreal |
| 61.57% | 22.41% | 16.03% |
| Both teams to score 46.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
