Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 63.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
