Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Sao Paulo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
