Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 48.85%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
