Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Santos had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Santos win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.
