Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Athletico Paranaense.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
