Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Santos had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Santos win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
