Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 69.44%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Santos had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
