Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.