The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-0 Fluminense
Thursday, June 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Flamengo | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Fluminense | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Coritiba | 12 | -2 | 15 |
Last Game: Avai 3-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Athletico Paranaense | 12 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Avai | 12 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Ceara | 13 | 0 | 16 |
We said: Fluminense 1-1 Avai
Avai come in with plenty of momentum, while their hosts may be lacking a degree of confidence, and we predict a tight contest as a result. Ultimately, we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome, with the newly-promoted side expected to do enough to leave with a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Avai had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Avai |
55.32% ( 0.36) | 24.45% ( -0.15) | 20.22% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.71% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
