The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Avai and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 0-1 Avai
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Goias | 12 | -3 | 14 |
| 15 | Avai | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Atletico Goianiense | 11 | -3 | 13 |
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cuiaba | 12 | -6 | 12 |
| 19 | Juventude | 12 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 11 | -6 | 7 |
We said: Avai 1-1 Fortaleza
At times these teams have shown that they are capable of being potent in the attacking third, but consistency has not been a feature for either side so expect to see a tight match between two squads who have not conceded much in their recent fixtures. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Avai | Draw | Fortaleza |
40.81% ( -0.03) | 27.71% ( 0.01) | 31.48% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.9% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
