Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 4 | 15 |
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Monday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Botafogo | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Avai | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 10 | -4 | 11 |
We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Avai
Athletico set out to record a fifth straight home win, while Avai have struggled away from home in 2022. We fancy the hosts to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Avai had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Avai |
56.93% ( -0.02) | 25.76% ( 0.05) | 17.31% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 39.89% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
