The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fluminense vs. Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Internacional | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | America Mineiro | 10 | -1 | 14 |
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Internacional vs. Flamengo
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Goias | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Flamengo | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 10 | -3 | 12 |
We said: Fluminense 2-1 Flamengo
Fluminense are slight favourites for this clash given that they are on home soil, but it is expected to be a closely-fought affair between two rivals from Rio de Janeiro. Both teams have scored and conceded the same amount this season, which is another indicator for a tight match, but despite less rest ahead of this outing, Fluminense should be able to edge past their visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Flamengo |
27.72% ( 0.04) | 26.09% ( 0) | 46.2% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
