Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for KTP had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
