Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hannover in this match.
