Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
