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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
58.4% ( -0.05) | 21.35% ( 0.02) | 20.24% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9% ( -0.05) | 40.09% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.53% ( -0.05) | 62.46% ( 0.05) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.52% ( -0.03) | 13.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.52% ( -0.06) | 40.47% ( 0.05) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% ( -0.01) | 33.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% ( -0) | 70.03% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.04% 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 58.4% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 20.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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