Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.16%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
69.78% | 19.47% | 10.75% |
Both teams to score 40.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.54% | 50.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.61% | 72.38% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.67% | 13.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.82% | 40.18% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.28% | 52.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.53% | 86.47% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 14.27% 1-0 @ 14.16% 3-0 @ 9.59% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 4.83% 4-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.96% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.42% Total : 69.78% | 1-1 @ 9.06% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.47% | 0-1 @ 4.5% 1-2 @ 2.9% 0-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.91% Total : 10.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
> Serie A Full Table |