England's run in the group stages was a far less taxing affair than Italy's, and fresh legs on the Three Lions' end could just tip the scales in their favour.
While Foster was able to encase his star performers in bubble wrap on the final day, Italy boss Nunziata was not afforded such a luxury, and we expect England to come up trumps in a tense affair to book their spot in the quarters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for England Under-20s has a probability of 31.7% and a draw has a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest England Under-20s win is 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.97%).
