Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
59.6% | 22.65% | 17.75% |
Both teams to score 48.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.55% | 49.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.51% | 71.49% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.78% | 16.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.27% | 45.72% |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.41% | 41.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.93% | 78.07% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Betis |
1-0 @ 12.26% 2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 5.94% 4-0 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.02% Total : 59.58% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.64% | 0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |