Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 21.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
58.27% ( -0) | 20.15% ( 0.05) | 21.58% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 64.25% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.6% ( -0.32) | 32.4% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.97% ( -0.38) | 54.03% ( 0.38) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.93% ( -0.1) | 11.07% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.57% ( -0.22) | 35.43% ( 0.23) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -0.23) | 27.75% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( -0.29) | 63.33% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 21.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |