Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Lens |
36.43% ( -0.27) | 25.45% ( -0.16) | 38.12% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 56.13% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.25% ( 0.69) | 47.74% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.06% ( 0.63) | 69.94% ( -0.63) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% ( 0.17) | 25.54% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% ( 0.23) | 60.4% ( -0.23) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% ( 0.55) | 24.61% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.88% ( 0.76) | 59.12% ( -0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |