Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Salernitana |
35.77% | 28.03% | 36.21% |
Both teams to score 47.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.65% | 58.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.04% | 78.96% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.94% | 31.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.62% | 67.38% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% | 30.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% | 67.05% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
> Serie A Full Table |