The Galaxy have shown in recent weeks that they have shored things up defensively by only conceding one goal in the past three games, but by the same token, they have only scored one goal during that time.
LA seem to be missing Javier Hernandez's goals while Seattle seem to be growing in confidence, so we think they will have too much firepower for Greg Vanney's side.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.