Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
