Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Congo DR had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Congo DR win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.