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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Sep 25, 2022 at 3am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
LA Galaxy
Earthquakes
2 - 3
LA Galaxy
Espinoza (74' pen.), Cardoso (90+5')
Judson (29'), Tsakiris (47'), Remedi (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hernandez (12', 69'), Brugman (42')
Hernandez (31'), Grandsir (56'), Bond (73')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Colorado
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy

San Jose have too many holes defensively to suggest they can contain an attack as potent as the Galaxy for 90 minutes, especially knowing the desperation LA will be playing with because of what they have at stake. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.78%) and 0-2 (4.99%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
37.51% (-0.058 -0.06) 22.64% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 39.85% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 66.76% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.99% (-0.20899999999999 -0.21)34.01% (0.21100000000001 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.12% (-0.238 -0.24)55.88% (0.241 0.24)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)18.81% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76% (-0.201 -0.2)50.24% (0.203 0.2)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)17.78% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51% (-0.137 -0.14)48.49% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 37.51%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 39.85%
    Draw 22.64%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 37.51%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.34% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 4.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy

San Jose Earthquakes
31.3%
Draw
16.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
52.1%
48
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2022 3am
LA Galaxy
2-3
Earthquakes
Joveljic (48', 88')
Grandsir (33')
Espinoza (13' pen.), Ebobisse (14'), Lopez (40')
Lopez (41')
Aug 21, 2021 3.30am
LA Galaxy
1-2
Earthquakes
Vazquez (65')
Cabral (23'), dos Santos (69')
Hamalainen (71' og.), Ebobisse (52')
Abecasis (11'), Remedi (41'), Marcinkowski (86')
Jun 27, 2021 3am
Earthquakes
1-3
LA Galaxy
Cowell (82')
Judson (6'), Remedi (66'), Lopez (90')
Hernandez (11', 50'), Jungwirth (70' og.)
Bond (59')
May 30, 2021 12am
Oct 15, 2020 3.30am
LA Galaxy
0-4
Earthquakes

Insua (48'), Traore (61')
Lima (44', 90+3'), Rios (52'), Thompson (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England127321911824
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati117311512324
3Nashville SCNashville12543157819
4Atlanta UnitedAtlanta125342121018
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia115241714317
6Columbus Crew114342114715
7DC United124351616015
8Inter MiamiInter Miami115061212015
9New York City FCNY City124351415-115
10Orlando City114341214-215
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC124351622-615
12CF MontrealMontreal115061117-615
13Chicago Fire113531416-214
14New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls12264811-312
15Toronto122641317-412

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Seattle SoundersSeattle127231991023
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles106312081221
3St Louis City126242213920
4Dallas125431311219
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125341616018
6Portland TimbersPortland124351819-115
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver113531512314
8Houston DynamoHouston10424109114
9Colorado RapidsColorado122641014-412
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd113351014-412
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake113261020-1011
12Austin FCAustin112451017-710
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy112361018-89
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas12237816-89

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