Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Tanzania had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.24%) and 2-1 (6.97%). The likeliest Tanzania win was 0-1 (13.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.