Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.